The band cutoffs encode severity, so a riskier token can never grade better than a safer one — the grade maps straight from the risk score with no separate overrides on top. Bands are tighter at the safe end and widen as risk rises.
What Drives the Risk Score
A stablecoin’s risk score combines three dimensions (weights sum to 100%). Each contributes risk points — higher means riskier.Peg Risk (40%)Live depeg risk score. A healthy stablecoin (risk score 0) contributes 0 risk pts; a fully depegged token (risk score 100) contributes the full 40 pts.
40 × (risk_score / 100)Pre-Depeg Stress (30%)Peg Canary Score (PCS) pre-depeg stress. CALM conditions contribute ~0 pts; DANGER contributes up to ~30 pts. If PCS data is unavailable, this weight is redistributed to the other two dimensions.
30 × (pcs_score / 100)Structural Risk (30%)Composite of peg mechanism, governance type, token type, holder concentration (HCI), mint cap status, and Webacy contract risk. Captures inherent design risk independent of current price behaviour.
30 × (structural_risk / 100)Risk Score = Peg Risk + Pre-Depeg Stress + Structural Risk contributions. Capped 0–100, higher = more risk. Good structure doesn’t save a token that’s actively depegging — strong design plus a crashing price still produces a D or F, because peg risk dominates the score.
Structural Risk Breakdown
How risky is the token’s design, independent of current price? Formula:0.65 × mechanism_risk + 0.35 × governance_risk + adjustments — 0 = lowest structural risk, 100 = highest.
Peg Mechanism Risk (65% weight within structural)
Governance Risk (35% weight within structural)
Structural Adjustments (additive risk)
HCI (Holder Concentration Index) adjustments are exempt for fiat_reserve tokens. USDC holders simply redeem at $1 with the issuer — there is no exit-dump amplification risk. Crypto-collateral, delta-neutral, and algo tokens face real cascade risk from concentrated exits.
